The weather forecast for the coming seven days, covering the first and second weeks of May 2026, indicates that light to moderate Gu seasonal rains are expected across the regions of Togdheer, Waqooyi Galbeed, Sool, Sanaag, Nugaal, Mudug, Galgaduud, and Hiiraan. Some districts within these regions are expected to receive rainfall ranging from 10 to 30 mm.

Additionally, districts in the regions of Gedo, Bay, Bakool, Lower Juba, and Middle Juba are forecast to receive moderate rainfall ranging between 30 and 80 mm.

Meanwhile, coastal regions and districts including Middle Shabelle, Banaadir, Lower Shabelle, and Lower Juba are expected to experience heavy rainfall measuring between 80 and 120 mm.

SoDMA Advisory Message

The Somali Disaster Management Agency (SoDMA) is advising communities living along the Indian Ocean coastline and the Shabelle River basin to remain highly vigilant.

Weather forecasts indicate that some districts in Middle Shabelle, Banaadir, Lower Shabelle, and Lower Juba may experience both riverine and flash flooding in the coming days.

Furthermore, water levels along the Shabelle River continue to rise, particularly in the towns of Beledweyne and Jowhar, increasing the risk of flooding, especially if additional rainfall occurs in the upper catchment areas of the river.